Autonomous Vehicles: Future Scenarios

Autonomous Vehicles: Future Scenarios

The full story of autonomous vehicles is yet to be written. We created four scenario planning stories that explain how cities could shape the driverless future: tap taxi to tackle isolation, weaving a microtransit mesh, a human touch on robot delivery, reprogramming bus, bikes and barriers.

Key findings

The economics of automated taxi fleets will allow for far greater specialization and new business models that make it easier to serve special mobility needs.

Industry visions for AV deliveries undervalue human workers and the public realm.

Driverless minibuses will make it easier for more organizations to run private shuttle systems. Cities can push for technologies to link these services up and extend public access, creating an efficient alternative to driving.

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